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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-162/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 5.5 threes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Raptors is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (7.8).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.

While on the road, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improves player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Porter Jr. has made 17.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc on his home court this year, ranking in the 18th percentile among all players in the league.

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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