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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/15/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-172/+134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -172.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 49.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 12.5% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while on his home court.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 9.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • Michael Porter Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Dorian Finney-Smith is a tough one for attempts from downtown; when guarding fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 4.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (4th percentile).
  • The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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