Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has made an impressive 38.7% of his 3-pointers this year, a big improvement over his 18.2 rate last year.
Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.1 threes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

The matchup against Minnesota is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Timberwolves are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (31.4%).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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