Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2022

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Dec 30, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+128/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.9 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a whopping 2.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 rate last year.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 29.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
When playing away from home, the Heat have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.8 fouls per game last year.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have tallied the 10th-least three attempts per game in the league this year while playing away from home (36.9).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Heat.

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