Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-199/+143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -199.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 3.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.6 minutes per game this year.
The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Warriors have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
Michael Porter Jr. should experience a decrease in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

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