Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 19, 2025

Updated Mar 20, 2025 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+124/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.
Michael Porter Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

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