Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 29, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Knicks).
Michael Porter Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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