Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 2:55 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+172/-244).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -214 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -244.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 31.5 minutes per game this year.
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Nuggets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Lakers have given up the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Michael Porter Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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