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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Assists
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 8thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game on the road this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the league this year (the Rockets).

Michael Porter Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

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