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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Assists
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-240).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 2.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.2 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
  • The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.
  • The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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