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Maxi Kleber

Maxi Kleber Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Maxi Kleber Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Maxi Kleber has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.9% more than he's sunk overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted just 20.9 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Maxi Kleber has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (79th percentile).

This matchup is a positive one for threes; the other team have tallied the 2nd-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (13.2).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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