Max Strus Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has compiled a terrific 4.4 defensive boards per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.7 defensive boards per game last year.
Max Strus has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Cavaliers are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Max Strus ranks in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Cavaliers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has grabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).
Max Strus will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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