Max Strus Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has tallied an impressive 1.0 offensive boards per game this season, significantly higher than his 0.6 offensive boards per game last season.
Max Strus has played 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Cavaliers.
With the home court advantage, the Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Max Strus has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.
The 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

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