Max Strus Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has tallied an impressive 4.8 defensive boards per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.7 defensive boards per game last year.
Max Strus has averaged 34.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have nabbed 9.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Max Strus has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Cavaliers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lower player performance across the board.

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