Max Strus Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 6/12/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Jun 12, 2023

Updated Jun 13, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Max Strus has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (81st percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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