Max Strus Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/19/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 19, 2023

Updated May 20, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Max Strus has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production for all stats.

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