Max Strus Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/8/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 8, 2023

Updated May 8, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Max Strus has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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