Max Strus Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has posted 5.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.4 higher than he's posted in all games this season at home.
Max Strus has played 29.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.2 more than he's played in all games this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Max Strus has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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