Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2025

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 26, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has successfully made 53.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
Max Strus has successfully made 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.
The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).
The rate of 3-pointers hit against Andrew Wiggins has been remarkably high (49.9%) when he is at home and matched up against fellow starting SFs this year (100th percentile).
The Cavaliers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 10th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers.
Max Strus will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production across the board.

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