Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2025

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Apr 23, 2025

Updated Apr 23, 2025 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has successfully made 52.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing at home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Max Strus lands in the 87th percentile for three-point shots made on his home court, tallying 2.3 per game this year.
The matchup against Miami is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Miami Heat are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Cavaliers.

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