Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2025

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Apr 20, 2025

Updated Apr 21, 2025 3:48 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has successfully made 52.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.5% more than he's converted overall this year with the home court advantage.
Out of all players in the league, Max Strus slots into the 86th percentile for 3-point shots hit on his home court, registering 2.2 per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The 5th-quickest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.

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