Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics · May 11, 2024

Updated May 12, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has successfully made 43.7% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 9.6% more than he's sunk in all games this year playing at home.
Max Strus has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for overall this season.
In regard to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league with the home court advantage over the last 25 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have totaled 6.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, designating this as a favorable matchup.
Max Strus has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 21.8% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Max Strus has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games as the home team.
The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road, which should reduce possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Boston may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 1.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are away from home (5th-least in the NBA).