Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has made 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season on his home court.
Max Strus has averaged 31.9 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on 3-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, marking this as a strong matchup.
The Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the New York Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Max Strus has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at drawing fouls on their home court: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year with just 19.9 free throws per game.
The matchup vs. New York may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are the visiting team (9th-least in the league).