Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Max Strus slots into the 95th percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 7.1 per game this year.
Max Strus has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up 20.2 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, making this a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Max Strus has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).
As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 19.8 free throw attempts per game.