Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs LA Clippers · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 7.5 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
Max Strus has tallied a whopping 33.1 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 28.4 minutes per game last year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 20.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season on his home court.
The matchup vs. the LA Clippers may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games (26th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Max Strus has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 11.4 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Clippers, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive productivity.
The 9th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have captured 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can create more chances for offense).