Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:46 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-117/-117).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 15.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Max Strus has attempted 11.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
Max Strus has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 28th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Max Strus ranks in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Cavaliers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has grabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (9th-least in the NBA).