Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has put up a terrific 16.6 points per game this year, quite a bit more than his 11.3 points per game last year.
Relative to last season's 39.2% clip, Max Strus's field goal proficiency has jumped this season to 50.8%.
Max Strus has averaged 34.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
In terms of scoring, the Cleveland Cavaliers's outstanding 48.9% field goal percentage away from home settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Max Strus has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The matchup against Miami is a tough one; when the Miami Heat are at home, they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (12.5).
The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Cavaliers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Miami may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage (13th-least in the NBA).

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