Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 2:48 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 11.9 shots from the field per game this year, a significant increase from his 9.5 rate last year.
Max Strus has made an impressive 3.2 threes per game this year, significantly more than his 2.4 rate last year.
Relative to last season's 27.9 rate, Max Strus's playing time has jumped this season to 34.3 minutes per game.
When it comes to three-pointers, the Cleveland Cavaliers's excellent 36.5% rate of drained threes playing at home places 8th-most in the league this year.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have posted the 4th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.0%).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 0.1 clip, Max Strus's technical fouls have jumped this year to 0.3 per game.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Portland is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game this year when the Portland Trail Blazers are on their home court (7th-least in the NBA).
Max Strus will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lower player performance across the board.

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