Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 5/29/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 29, 2023

Updated May 30, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 6.8 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Max Strus has sunk a terrific 87.4% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly more than his 78.5 mark last season.

Favors Under

Max Strus has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for threes; when the Celtics are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 10th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (29.9%).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games on the road.
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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