Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 5/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 25, 2023

Updated May 26, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-150/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has converted 44.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 10.0% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year on the road.
The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home when it comes to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.0).
The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus has successfully made a whopping 87.9% of his free throws this year, quite a bit more than his 78.5 mark last year.

Favors Under

Max Strus has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance for all stats.