Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 5/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 23, 2023

Updated May 23, 2023 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 6.7 3-point shots per game at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.0).
The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus has made 2.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Max Strus has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Boston may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics are away from home (15th-least in the NBA).