Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 5/21/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 21, 2023

Updated May 22, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 6.7 treys per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for field goal attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.1).
The Celtics have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus has successfully made 87.6% of his foul shots this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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