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Max Strus

Max Strus Points
Player Prop - 5/19/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Max Strus has attempted 8.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage as it relates to attempts from downtown.

The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (15.2).

With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Max Strus has made a whopping 87.9% of his free throw attempts this season, a big improvement over his 78.5 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Max Strus has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Boston may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.1 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Celtics have the home court advantage (9th-least in the NBA).

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