Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 5/2/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · May 2, 2023

Updated May 2, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has successfully made 41.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 8.5% higher than he's converted from three overall this season away from home.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup against the Knicks is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 24th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (14.0).
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Max Strus has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (81st percentile).
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production across the board.

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