Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Apr 30, 2023

Updated Apr 30, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has successfully made 43.6% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 10.7% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season away from his home court.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 22nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The Miami Heat have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Max Strus has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (81st percentile).
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Max Strus will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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