Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 24, 2023

Updated Apr 25, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 6.7 3-pointers per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one for threes; the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the 28th-highest three rate in the league this year (39.0%).
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.
Max Strus has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.8% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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