Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 4:51 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has successfully made 44.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 10.9% more than he's made overall this season.
The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The Magic have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to boost possessions for the Heat.
The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 8.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on his home court.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Magic is a difficult one for field goals; opposing starting SFs have posted the 13th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (43.3%).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Orlando may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are away from home (13th-least in the league).

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