Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has sunk 42.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 8.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Washington is a favorable one for threes; when the Wizards have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest three percentage in the league this year (40.7%).
The Wizards have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.
Max Strus has converted a whopping 87.6% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 78.5 rate last season.

Favors Under

Max Strus has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (79th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Wizards have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game this year (12th-least in the league).