Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has successfully made 45.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 11.8% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league on the road this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The 76ers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus has converted a whopping 87.6% of his foul shots this season, a significant increase from his 78.5 rate last season.
The matchup against the 76ers is a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.7 foul shots per game this year (26th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Max Strus has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (79th percentile).
The matchup against Philadelphia is a tough one for threes; when the 76ers have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 12th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (28.5%).
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).