Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 1, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 6.7 three-pointers per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.
The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (17.3).
Max Strus has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 11.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.1 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (27th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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