Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
This matchup is a tough one for field goals; their opposition have posted the 3rd-lowest field goal rate in the league over the last 15 games when the Magic are on their home court (44.5%).
The Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Max Strus has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 21.5% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Max Strus has made 33.9% of his field goals over the last 15 games, -6.3% less than he's made in all games this year.
Max Strus has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
While on their home court, the Magic have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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