Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 7.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Max Strus has tallied 29.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Max Strus has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 21.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Favors Under

Max Strus has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This matchup is a strong one for field goals; opposing squads have totaled the 7th-most field goals per game in the NBA this year (41.6).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Heat.

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