Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 7.9 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Max Strus has played 29.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.2 more than he's played in all games this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 21.5% more than he's made in all games this season.

Favors Under

Max Strus has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This matchup is a positive one for field goals; opposing squads have averaged the 7th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (41.6).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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