Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 10.9 field goals per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.7 rate last year.
Max Strus has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Max Strus has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 14.6% higher than he's made over the course of the season on the road.

Favors Under

Max Strus has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's committed in all games this season.
The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nets have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Heat.
Max Strus will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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