Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Jan 31, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 7.7 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Max Strus has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Max Strus has played an impressive 29.8 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 24.1 minutes per game last season.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (which can also produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Max Strus has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (82nd percentile).
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league over the last 20 games (40.6%).
The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers.

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