Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 11.3 shots from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 8.7 mark last year.
Max Strus has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.1% more than he's sunk overall this year.
Max Strus has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Magic.

Favors Under

The Magic have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games when playing on the road (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.

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