Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 8.0 treys per game this season, significantly higher than his 6.8 mark last season.
Max Strus has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.7% more than he's made overall this season.
Max Strus has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The Mavericks have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (which also create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Max Strus has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (84th percentile).
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a mere 24.8 foul shots per game this year (9th-least in the league).
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

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