Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 8.0 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 6.8 rate last year.
Max Strus has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Max Strus has tallied 29.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The matchup against the Bucks is a strong one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 21.1 foul shots per game while playing away from home this year (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Bucks is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (38.4).
The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The matchup against the Bucks is a hard one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have put up the 7th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.6%).

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