Max Strus Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 8.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a big improvement over his 6.8 rate last season.
Max Strus has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.0% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Max Strus has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing at home this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a positive one; away from their home court they have allowed the 8th-most points per game in the league to opposing teams this year (112.1).

Favors Under

Max Strus has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (86th percentile).
When playing on the road, the Nets have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Nets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a measly 25.0 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year on their home court (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

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