Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 6/7/2023

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Max Strus

NBA · Player Props

Max Strus

G-F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 7, 2023

Updated Jun 7, 2023 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Max Strus Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +139 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Max Strus has attempted 6.6 3-pointers per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
Max Strus will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Max Strus has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.2 more than he's committed over the course of the year at home.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 7th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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